Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 220.508072 248.004478 278.419274 314.702283 356.994980 404.961323 463.798314
2025-02-16 175.572854 211.007029 253.589947 309.097903 380.375889 469.979293 592.993034
2025-02-23 150.480698 188.520471 236.704887 303.255992 394.456477 517.583233 700.876305
2025-03-02 137.301023 178.044176 231.981514 310.259485 423.805975 587.217298 849.333543
2025-03-09 124.932673 166.593141 223.768676 310.229176 441.825067 641.963981 984.961706
2025-03-16 113.261601 154.552349 212.944094 304.358833 449.347402 680.735261 1101.421099
2025-03-23 105.380703 146.929569 207.365294 305.155475 466.551443 736.599918 1257.561266
2025-03-30 96.989064 137.682223 198.289516 299.143863 471.389783 771.745383 1382.608325
2025-04-06 90.848486 131.210566 192.712339 297.889399 483.683911 821.339333 1546.099736
2025-04-13 82.896560 121.294408 180.823406 284.774446 473.252132 827.041523 1619.729059
2025-04-20 80.661233 120.103918 182.694842 295.141901 506.464849 921.426337 1909.597708
2025-04-27 78.988042 119.632991 185.622035 307.555611 545.091222 1033.437352 2272.566475
2025-05-04 74.978649 115.157232 181.628037 307.357812 559.804173 1099.544644 2547.000100
2025-05-11 70.145794 108.988557 174.263306 300.175826 559.542177 1133.025124 2747.128138
2025-05-18 66.057690 103.785773 168.152918 294.704859 562.014634 1173.097579 2979.036478
2025-05-25 64.170589 102.210091 168.330398 301.448680 591.633044 1283.752290 3462.918809
2025-06-01 61.465399 99.014313 165.299380 301.421019 606.156430 1359.853141 3867.983335
2025-06-08 58.220668 94.655298 159.791905 295.754868 606.932830 1400.379351 4168.755763
2025-06-15 56.066136 92.111104 157.486380 296.523845 622.968625 1485.538737 4669.594251
2025-06-22 53.259651 88.216258 152.335352 290.720692 622.273913 1523.707976 5007.765726
2025-06-29 51.201769 85.577490 149.425421 289.509609 632.869631 1597.237930 5528.439783
2025-07-06 47.975953 80.603443 141.642926 276.845662 612.668580 1574.050050 5619.574379
2025-07-13 47.468891 80.691058 143.865101 286.856975 652.994657 1748.559688 6717.700770